Energy’s share of Canadian exports growing again – NEB

Value of Canadian energy exports Source: NEB

Oil export volumes continued to increase despite lower oil prices

Over the last 30 years, the total value of Canadian exports has increased seven-fold, from $95 billion in the first quarter of 1987 to $664 billion in the first quarter of 2017, according to a National Energy Board press release.

During this time period, the value of energy exports grew by an even greater amount, increasing ten-fold from $10.4 billion to $100.8 billion.

Correspondingly, energy’s share of total Canadian exports grew from 11 per cent in 1987 to over 15 per cent in the first quarter of 2017.

Energy joined the services and consumer goods sectors, which increased their share over the last three decades, while forestry products and building materials, and motor vehicles and parts, saw their share decrease between these dates.

Most prominently, the share of natural gas exports reached a high of nearly 60 per cent in early 2001 but decreased to the 13 per cent range from 2012-2017.

The decreased share of natural gas exports corresponds to widespread adoption of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, which led to the development of previously uneconomic tight and shale resources in the U.S. and reduced demand for Canadian gas exports.

At the same time, Canadian crude oil production and exports increased in response to new technology and infrastructure as well as a period of higher oil prices.