By January 25, 2017 Read More →

Oil prices edge down as traders weigh U.S. stock build, OPEC cuts

oil prices

The OPEC supply cut deal has helped increase oil prices, however, analysts are concerned that the increase will spur US activity, resulting in an increased surplus and price drop.  Anadarko photo.

Oil prices rebound after government data

By Jessica Resnick-Ault

NEW YORK , Jan 25 (Reuters) – Oil prices ended less than 1 per cent lower on Wednesday after data showed a build in U.S. crude inventories, reinforcing the view that oil prices are range bound, buoyed by expected OPEC production cuts while pressured by U.S. output growth.

U.S. crude futures for March delivery settled at $52.75 a barrel, down 43 cents, after earlier dropping to as low as $52.56 per barrel.

Benchmark Brent crude settled down 36 cents a barrel at $55.08.

“Crude oil is in the middle of a trading range that began to unfold in early December,” said Walter Zimmerman, chief technical analyst at ICAP. “You have a market with a serious case of indigestion, it swallowed too much speculative length.”

Market expectations of output cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries have provided a floor for prices, while extreme speculative length and looming U.S. production growth provide a ceiling, he said.

The U.S. government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that crude, gasoline and diesel stockpiles rose, confirming a report from the American Petroleum Institute trade group late on Tuesday.

The EIA data, however, showed a substantial build in gasoline stockpiles of 6.8 million barrels, exceeding analyst expectations and figures in the API report.

U.S. gasoline crack spreads, or refining margins, hit a session low of $12.20 a barrel after the data was released, the lowest since Dec. 14.

Oil prices have found support in recent weeks from plans by OPEC and other producers to cut output. Around 1.5 million barrels per day (b/d) has already been cut from the market out of the 1.8 million b/d agreed by major producers starting on Jan. 1, energy ministers said on Sunday.

Bernstein Energy said global oil inventories declined by 24 million barrels to 5.7 billion barrels in the fourth quarter of 2016 from the previous quarter. The amount remaining equates to about 60 days of world oil consumption.

Meanwhile, U.S. oil production has risen more than 6 percent since mid-2016, yet it remains 7 per cent below its 2015 peak. Output is back to levels reached in late 2014, when strong U.S. production contributed to a crash in crude prices.

President Donald Trump’s promise to support the U.S. oil industry has encouraged analysts to revise up their forecasts of growth in domestic oil production, which is already benefiting from higher prices.

A push by Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives for a shift to a border-adjusted corporate tax could help propel U.S. crude prices higher than global benchmark Brent, triggering large-scale domestic production, Goldman Sachs said.

(Additional reporting by Dmitry Zhdannikov in London and Naveen Thukral in Singapore, Christopher Johnson in London; Editing by Marguerita Choy, Meredith Mazzilli and David Gregorio)

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